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Astros vs. Red Sox Best Bets: Odds, Predictions, Latest Stats and Trends for August 11

It is Sunday, August 11th, and the Boston Red Sox (61-54) will host the Houston Astros (61-55) at Fenway Park this afternoon.

It’s the finale of their weekend series. The Astros have won the first two games. Yordan Alvarez hit two home runs yesterday and led the Astros to a 5-4 victory.

We have all the information and analysis you need to know before the game, including the latest information on catching the first pitch, projected pitcher matchups, lineup cards, recent team performance, player stats, and of course our predictions, tips, and best bets for the game from our modeling tools and expert teams.

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Game details and how to watch Astros vs. Red Sox live today

● Date: Sunday, August 11, 2024
● Time: 1:35 p.m. EST
● Location: Fenway Park
● City: Boston, MA
● TV/Streaming: SCHN, NESN

Don’t miss a second of the action and stay up to date with the latest team stats and player news. Check out our daily MLB Schedule Pagealong with detailed matchup pages that are updated live in-game with every out.

Astros vs. Red Sox Odds

The current odds from Sunday morning:

Money line: Red Sox +120, Astros -145
Spread: Red Sox +1.5 (-130), Astros -1.5 (+105)
Over/Under: 10 runs

Bet the Edge is your source for all things sports betting. Get all the information from Jay Croucher and Drew Dinsick Tuesdays and Thursdays at 6 a.m. ET right here or wherever you get your favorite podcasts.

Current team statistics for Astros vs. Red Sox

● The Red Sox have lost three in a row and are 5-5 in their last ten games. Boston is 27-30 at Fenway Park this season. Their overall run differential is +29.

● Houston has won 4 games in a row and is 6-4 in their last 10 games. They are now 29-29 on the road. Houston’s overall run differential for the season is +49.

Expected starting pitchers for Houston vs. Boston

Today’s pitching duel (August 11): Hunter Brown vs. James Paxton

Red Sox: Paxton (9-3, 4.42 ERA) allowed 49 earned runs and 93 hits and had 73 strikeouts in 99.2 innings.
Astros: Brown (9-7, 3.98 ERA) allowed 54 earned runs and 121 hits and had 130 strikeouts in 122 innings.

Rotoworld continues to offer you all the latest MLB player news for all 30 teams. Check out the feed page here at NBC Sports to see headlines, injuries and transactions where you can filter by league, team, positions and news type!

The most important betting trends and insights before the Astros vs. Red Sox game on August 11, 2024

● Jose Altuve hits .333 (11-33) with 2 HRs and 3 RBIs against James Paxton

● Alex Bregman has a career hotline average of .276 (8-29) against James Paxton

● The OVER has made money in the last 5 Red Sox games with James Paxton as opener since last season

If you are looking for more important trends and statistics around spread, moneyline and total for every single game on today’s schedule, check out our MLB Top Trends Tool on NBC Sports!

Expert tips and predictions for the Astros vs. Red Sox game on Sunday

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Our model calculates predictions around every moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB schedule based on data points such as past performance, player matchups, stadium information and weather forecasts.

Once the model is complete, we compare its projection to the latest betting odds for the game to determine a relative confidence level for each bet.

Here are the best bets our model predicts for tonight’s Astros vs. Red Sox game:

Money line: NBC Sports is leaning towards a game against Houston on the moneyline

Spread: NBC Sports sees greater value in this and recommends a game on the Astros on the Run Line

Number of runs: NBC Sports is leaning towards a game with a total of under 10 runs

Want more MLB tips and predictions from our experts and tools? Check out the MLB expert predictions NBC Sports page with moneyline, spread and totals for each of the games on today’s schedule!

Follow our experts on social networks to stay up to date with the latest content from our employees:

Jay Croucher (@croucherJD)
Drew Dinsick (@whale_capper)
Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports)
Brad Thomas (@MrBradThomas)

By Bronte

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